Egypt, Kenya, Africa & The Reality of Failed States
I was watching this video of starvation in Baringo and watching the events in Egypt as well and at some point, you have to call a spade a spade. There are some cultures in the world that are “winners” and others that are just ”losers”. This is just the reality.
When the majority of your citizens cannot afford basic food items, you are a failed state. This is the reality in both Egypty and Tunisia today.
When some of your citizens are starving to death and don’t even have water (in a country that is not landlocked!) you are an utterly failed state. This is the reality in Baringo and in Kenya today. How can there not be water when you sit on the shores of the Indian Ocean? Why not think about desalination? When you have Lake Victoria, Lake Naivasha, Lake Baringo, Lake Turkana….you get the picture. This is not about parliamentary select committee’s and new constitutuions. It’s about a culture that can’t produce anything and this is what ultimately leads to faiiled states (not lack of democracy as others are pointing out).
In my earlier post, I said that it was going to get worse for the world’s poor because the excessive debt loads in the richer, western countries is going to lead to massive inflation and higher commodity prices. Why? because these western countries are going to try and “print” their way of their debt problems. It won’t work of course, but the developing world (excluding parts of Asia that will get richer because they actually produce goods) – the rest of the developing world will suffer.
So, when I hear Kenyans talking about the real estate boom & how you can become an overnight millionaire by building apartments all over the city or when I hear them heralding the new constitution and using words like “promulgation” and how they’re going to have all these rights or when I hear that the two principals are meeting yet again over yet another scuffle, I just wonder what kind of reality people live in.
I’ve said it here before: No country has ever achieved real economic growth without FIRST achieving food security. Incidentally, Egypt still imports 40% of it’s food. It has not achieved food security. In some ways, it’s like Ethiopia — Both countries have about 80 million people and they can’t seem to feed them all.
Kenya is a little luckier because it has good land and hard working farmers, but still, you can’t have people starving because it means that your “system” of governance is absolutely not working. Ethiopia, unlike Egypt, has good land and yet, they can’t even afford to feed themselves. That is a failed, failed, failed state.
It doesn’t matter how many speeches Raila gives or Kibaki gives or Mubarak gives. If you find yourself living in one of these failed states, your best option is to get out. Yup. Get out before sh*t hits the fan and only stay if you are a member of the politically connected corrupt elite (where your stealing will pay off for you personally).